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🏈 NFL
J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Stats, Zones, Props & DFS

#27 · RB · 5' 10" · 212 lbs · age 27 · Ohio State · 7 yr vet
Denver Broncos checking status… ⚖️ Compare
✦AI BriefLive read on J.K. DobbinsRead it ▾J.K. Dobbins has gone over his number in 5 of his last 22 settled props on this board.8 notes · the numbers, the matchup and the wire

J.K. Dobbins of the Denver Broncos (#27 · RB · 5' 10" · 212 lbs) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

J.K. Dobbins has gone over his number in 5 of his last 22 settled props on this board.

Tonight's spot grades 55 out of 100 — even spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 45.39 rush yds, moved from a base of 44.15 by vs ARI run D #20 (+2.7%), on the road (-2%), grass, on the road at ARI.

We project 0.3 rush tds, moved from a base of 0.29 by vs ARI run D #20 (+2.7%), on the road (-2%), grass, on the road at ARI.

We project 21.53 reception yds, moved from a base of 20.07 by vs ARI pass D #23 (+5%), on the road (-2%), grass, on the road at ARI.

We project 0.36 total tds, moved from a base of 0.33 by vs ARI red-zone D #29 (+9.7%), on the road (-2%), grass, on the road at ARI.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…

This is the live market page for J.K. Dobbins of the Denver Broncos — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 J.K. Dobbins — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · AT ARI
55
Matchup Grade · Even spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — the defense he faces, the game the number expects, the surface, the rest and the weather.
Rush Yds45.39from 44.15 · 6 games
vs ARI run D #20 +2.7%on the road -2%grassextra rest · 10 days +3%domeimplied 22.5 pts (house engine, nfl-v3)the machine · 5 graded -0.8%his over rate L10 20% at 78.3 (5 graded)
Rush Tds0.3from 0.29 · 6 games
vs ARI run D #20 +2.7%on the road -2%grassextra rest · 10 days +3%domeimplied 22.5 pts (house engine, nfl-v3)the machine · 5 graded -0.8%
Reception Yds21.53from 20.07 · 6 games
vs ARI pass D #23 +5%on the road -2%grassextra rest · 10 days +3%dome +2%implied 22.5 pts (house engine, nfl-v3)the machine · 5 graded -0.8%his over rate L10 100% at 3.5 (1 graded)
Total Tds0.36from 0.33 · 6 games
vs ARI red-zone D #29 +9.7%on the road -2%grassextra rest · 10 days +3%domeimplied 22.5 pts (house engine, nfl-v3)the machine · 5 graded -0.8%
Anytime Td0.34from 0.31 · 6 games
vs ARI red-zone D #29 +9.7%on the road -2%grassextra rest · 10 days +3%domeimplied 22.5 pts (house engine, nfl-v3)the machine · 5 graded -0.8%
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 J.K. Dobbins · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Rushing Yards 5 20%20%20%20%
Last Touchdown Scorer 5 40%40%40%40% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 2 Plus Touchdowns 5 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 3 Plus Touchdowns 5 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Receiving Yards 1 100%100%100%100% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Receptions 1 100%100%100%100% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 J.K. Dobbins — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 5/22 overs (23%)
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-15
UNDER
final: 1
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-10-15
UNDER
final: 1
player_receptions · line 1.5
2026-10-15
OVER
final: 3
player_receiving_yards · line 3.5
2026-10-15
OVER
final: 5
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-10-15
OVER
final: 1
rushing_yards · line 43.5
2026-10-15
UNDER
final: 41
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 1
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 1
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-10-11
OVER
final: 1
rushing_yards · line 109.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 68
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-04
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-10-04
UNDER
final: 0
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
🏈 J.K. Dobbins — 2026 GAME LOG · 6 GAMES · RB
Every regular-season week. Green is above his season median, red below — the same line the hit board rates him against until the books post a number.
WkRush ydsRush TDRecRec yds
W136000
W236000
W349014
W4400212
W568126
W641135
Total2702827
Per game450.31.34.5
Median40.501.54.5
🔬 NEXT UP · WEEK 7 @ ARI · Sun Oct 25 · 4:05 PM ET
What ARI gave up to RBs in 2026, rank of 32 — green is a soft spot, red is a wall.
#28107rush yds/g to RBs
#140.67rush TD/g to RBs
#13catches/g to RBs
#1025.17rec yds/g to RBs
The full matchup room → 🎯 Our call on this game → 🎯 How often does he cover a line? →
Rolls forward every Tuesday once the 2026 season is under way.
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🏆 DFS

Pulling live DK salary…

⚖️ Start / Sit

Grading the market…

🌱 Turf vs Grass, by what he does

RUSHINGGCarYds/GYPCTD
GRASS1115964.84.52
TURF34073.35.52
RECEIVINGGTgtRecYds/GCatch%TD
GRASS1113114.285%0
+13% rushing yards/game on turf vs grass
Every play bucketed by surface · search any player →

🛠️ Run him through the machines

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J.K. Dobbins — 2026 Zone Breakdown

Run gaps

J.K. Dobbins carried 81 times for 270 yards (3.33 per carry) and 2 touchdowns, with a 28.4% success rate.

GapCarriesYardsAvgTD
Left end11232.091
Left tackle471.750
Left guard14604.290
Up the middle29943.240
Right guard6325.330
Right tackle8253.131
Right end9293.220

Snap counts

J.K. Dobbins played 160 offensive snaps across 6 games in 2026 — 26.7 per game, 43.7% of his team's offensive snaps.

From play-by-play and snap counts, 2026 season. A player who has changed teams since is charted in his previous offense.